Capture Trends
 
 
 
 
Capture Trends
Equity market expects Fed to delay tightening; bond players don’t buy it
Written by George Albert   

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September 14, 2013: The equity markets have rallied past a few resistance levels  clearly expecting the Federal Reserve to delay its monetary tightening. The Sensex and Nifty burst out of resistance and seems headed to the all time high. The same looks true for the S&P 500 and Dow.

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Bonds are at the cusp of a breakdown, will equity follow?
Written by George Albert   

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August 17, 2013: The US treasuries UST a key benchmark for global interest rates is at a cusp of a breakdown, which could lead to a further sell off in the equity markets.

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Will Rajan act on his beliefs or has FM house-trained him?
Written by George Albert   

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August 10, 2013: The new Reserve Bank of India Governor, Raghuram Rajan mostly gets it right. His views on capitalism, supply side economics and 2008 financial crisis are on the mark. He stands on the opposite side of the noted Keynesian Paul Krugman and that is enough for free market folks to breathe a sigh on relief.

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As equities dance, bond markets threaten to stop the music
Written by George Albert   

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July 6, 2013: The global equity markets have been catching a bounce, but the bond markets signal a potential bear. The prices of 10-year US treasury (UST) a key global benchmark fell drastically yesterday, pushing yields 2.7%, levels last seen in March 2012.

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Demand zone in S&P 500 stops global bear and rescues Nifty for now
Written by George Albert   

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June 15, 2013: The global bear has taken a breather as the S&P 500 hits a strong support zone and is able to sustain the support. The result is a rally in the Indian markets and also other indexes in Euro zone nations like the UK, France and Germany.

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Why 55-60 to the dollar may be the new normal for rupee
Written by George Albert   

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June 12, 2013: The USDINR pair is expected to hover around 60 level for sometime unless there is sudden surge in the US Dollar index. The INR has been relatively weaker than the the US Dollar index as both have been falling instead of moving inversely.

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Nifty & S&P: May selloff didn’t happen, but June looks bearish
Written by George Albert   

Written for First Post
June 1, 2013: They say sell in May and go away. But it did not work this May. So may be the new truism should be sell in May and wait for June. And it could well be true and long term monthly chart formed a bearish candle stick pattern.

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